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An online reference book

A field guide for the traps in marketing measurement.

for the people who have to make budget calls on Monday.

Most arguments about marketing impact turn on definitions that look interchangeable. They aren't.

Start at the beginning
Still ahead Coming soon
  • Holdout vs BAU
    What "business as usual" actually controls for — and what it doesn't.
  • Adstock & carryover
    When yesterday's exposure still drives today's lift.
  • Superiority vs non-inferiority
    Two different questions, two different bars.
  • Localized shift vs causal impact
    Geo holdouts vs the full counterfactual.
  • Test-to-now drift
    When the world moves but your point estimate doesn't.
© Wanjun Gao · Aluminar Research · First edition · 2026